Despite occasionally joking about running for a third term, that’s not actually an option. Under the 22nd Amendment, a president can only serve two terms in total, effectively ruling Trump out.
That’s left many looking toward potential successors, and historically, vice presidents often try to step into the role. Figures like Kamala Harris, Mike Pence, and Al Gore have all made attempts.
Now, attention has shifted to current vice president JD Vance. Once seen as a strong Republican contender, his position appears to have weakened. According to Newsweek, his chances of winning have dropped significantly, hitting what’s described as an “all-time low” of 18 percent earlier this week.
Prediction markets are reflecting similar uncertainty, but they’re far from stable. On March 26, PredictIt showed Gavin Newsom leading the field among himself, Vance, and Marco Rubio, with a 24 percent chance of winning compared to Vance’s 22 percent, according to UNILad.
JD Vance’s winning chances at an “all time low”
Just days later, however, the numbers shifted again. By March 29, PredictIt had Vance back in the lead at 24 percent, with Newsom slipping to 22.
